“My estimate is 1 per 1,000 on average –> over 5 million killed worldwide” — Steve Kirsch
Executive summary
The 14 different estimation methods listed below are consistent with the 1 in 1,000 hypothesis; some are a bit more, some predict less.
This is not a per dose estimate. This is an overall estimate on a per person basis. Some people got 1 shot. Others had 8 or more shots.
1 in 1,000 means that if 5.5B people are ‘vaccinated’, I’m estimating it led to 5.5M excess deaths over a 5 year period, or about 1.1M excess deaths per year. On a 65M worldwide deaths per year, that’s an increase of less than 2% per year. This is why it is easy to miss.
1. The Levi-Ladapo study
This is my favorite study. They compared the non-COVID mortality of two matched groups: one that took Pfizer, one that took Moderna.
The matching was extensive; more extensive than almost any other study.
The matching used was more extensive than Barbra A. Dickerman’s matching and she showed the SMD’s were small on co-morbidities even if you just matched on demographics (2 papers).
The non-COVID all-cause mortality should have been identical in the two groups. It wasn’t.
Non-COVID-19 mortality risk was higher in BNT162b2 recipients compared to mRNA-1273 recipients (OR [95% CI]: 1.374 [1.325, 1.425]).
The most conservative estimate is that Moderna is 100% safe and Pfizer has a 32% higher death rate for 1 year only. Since the Pfizer Moderna split in the US was around 60/40, this would be a 19% mortality increase in 1 year in the mortality of the ‘vaccinated’.
But the ‘vaccinated’ are healthier than the ‘vaccinated’ (in terms of mortality in the general public and this is caused by selection bias; this is the static HVE effect and is readily verifiable in the Czech record level data for example as noted in the Mirror of Erised paper.), and not everyone in the US was vaccinated. So if 75% got the shots, and those Americans are healthier than the ‘unvaccinated’ Americans by 20%, we’re looking at an 11% increase in mortality.
The death rate in the US is around .903% so 11% applied to that is 1 per 1,007 which is close to my estimate my 1 per 1,000 estimate.
Nobody wants to talk about this study or replicate it in any other states. The method used is the most accurate method I’m aware of because it compares ‘vaccinated’ versus ‘vaccinated’ so it’s immune to the differences between people who opted for ‘vaccination’ vs. people who declined ‘vaccination’.
2. Charles Hoffe
Hoffe reported 1 ‘vaccine’ death in 900 patients ‘vaccinated’. He’s a careful sole practitioner so he knew his patients and why they died.
3. Private Canadian doctors
A Canadian doctor with a 1,200 patient practice reported 3 ‘vaccine’ related deaths in his practice, but not all were ‘vaccinated’. So that’s well in excess of the 1 per 1,000 estimate.
Another Canada doctor (who I verified is a family MD in Alberta, Canada) has been practicing for 25 years. He saw this article and emailed me, “In my medical practice, I would say 1 in 35 of my patients were killed by the ‘vaccines.”
OK, so this is a problem because he didn’t tell me the number of ‘vaccinated’ patients! We are dealing with Poisson probabilities here and 1 in 35 is completely different than 2 in 70!! Waiting to hear back. But the point is that statistics such as these can help us because this kind of observation may be impossible if the underlying estimate is 1 death per 10,000.
So now I have additional detail and this is quoted verbatim. His practice death rate was flat pre-‘vaccine’, including 2020. Then it doubled. And the people who died died of really odd things, all of which have been linked to covid ‘vaccine’ deaths by others. And of the 32 he links to the covid shots, for him to be wrong, you’d have to show a 25-year practicing doctor got 32 out of 32 death attributions all wrong.
Probably best to not use my name. I can tell you that using electronic medical records I looked at the number of overall deaths in each year for the 10 years up to and including 2020, and compared to the next 4 years. For the first 10 years I averaged 7.6 deaths a year in a practice of about 1100 patients. In 2020 it was 8. The next 4 years it was 16.5 deaths a year. When I looked at all those deaths, I could make a good case that 48.4848% of those who died had their deaths caused by or hastened by the ‘vaccines’. I had 3 people die with covid but one fell and hit his head and bled in it. I looked at the other doctors records and they all had similar increases. Deaths under 70, which previously was very rare increased by 4 to 7 times than previously.
All of the excess deaths were ‘vaccinated’. Over 4 years 2021 2022 2023 and 2024, 32 patients out of roughly 1100 I believe were killed by the ‘vaccines’.
From 2021 to 2024, 32 ‘vaccinated’ people out of a practice of around 1100 were likely killed by the ‘vaccines’. From 2020 to 2024 3 died with covid. 2 were ‘unvaccinated’.