by Ross Meurant

The trouble with Elections is invariably they encourage utterances from some who want to be political leaders, to say pretty dumb things.

Boris Johnson and President Biden are classics: there’re too many examples to bother reciting here but both, in my view, seek to deflect poor polling at home by promoting chaos in another country.

In the case of America, this model has also long been adopted to ensure jobs back home within the Military-Industrial Complex. 

Starting wars not only helps the U.S. economy, it can also be a way to avoid the political guillotine. 

Australian Defence Minister Dutton’s recent, “Prepare for war with China and Russia”, also fits into this category – in my assessment.  After all, it’s looking to be a close election in Oz.

Perhaps if Aussie had paid more attention to Solomon Islands?  Too late now.  

Like them or loath them, China is too big to ignore as a critical component in the Globalization (invented by America) of economic production and also as a consumer of raw materials from abroad.   

New Zealand depends on China for dairy and timber exports.  There is no alternative for either export.  New Zealand depends on Chinese students and tourists. Period.  

I’m no fan of New Zealand’s Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, but I must congratulate her on her recent sane statement apropos China, that New Zealand seeks to find a middle or neutral ground balancing our trade dependence while opposing perceived wrongs of the Chinese government.

Two years ago, Fortescue’s Mining Magnate Andrew Forrest made a valiant effort to save the Aussie coal industry trade with China – earning rebuke from politicians who, assured of their monthly salary irrespective of the success of trade relations, cashed in on paranoia and the xenophobia. 

When it comes to economic survival, in most parliaments there is a massive difference between commercial acuity of an industrialist or commercial magnate or even a farmer sweating out days in the fields of production, and a politician,

In the current Labour government, for example, the number of MPs who have NOT been senior management level in an enterprise dependent on productivity and sales, or who have practical experience of economic survival (even running their own café), by my calculations, is terrifying.

Many police and school teachers and NGO employees are in this same category.  Government bureaucrats get paid, rain or sunshine.  What’s worse, bureaucrats soon learn that the best way to preserve their jobs is not to make a mistake – and the best way not to make an error, is do nothing. 

[Believe me.  Afterall, I was once a police officer and later a Member of Parliament.]  

Like it or not, China is well on its way to replacing the Dying Empire of America — who will join Britain and France and Germany and Italy and Spain and Portugal — in the embers of Empire builders who’ve had their day. 

As for Mr Dutton’s war on Russia rant, at a time when politicians on one side of the Russian–Ukraine affair herald the strength of the European economy and the will of the politicians to defeat an undefeatable adversary, the side of the story Western media don’t run is the chronic plight of Europe’s dependence on Russian oil/gas and massive damage sanctions are doing in their own countries.

German industrialists are not happy with sanctions.  Nor are the farmers in France.  Argentina has said sanctions won’t stop the war and India and China put their people and their economies, ahead of America’s quest for world hegemony via sanctions

For those who get their daily data from other than BBC and American-influenced NZ mainstream, a case can be made that President Putin clearly had been gearing up for this Ukraine affair for some years — probably since Ukraine failed to honor the Minsk accord ceasefire after Russia re-took Crimea, by perpetually shelling civilians in the Donbas region.

In-spite of the best efforts of Western media to portray Russia on the brink of collapse, sanctions over time have compelled Russia to become self-sufficient – totally.   From hypersonic gliders to more grain than their bread ovens can bake.  

As always in politics: Be careful what you wish for.

The reality for Europe is, the imminence of economic chaos far exceeds problems in Russia — which enjoys trade and no sanctions with the two most populace countries on the planet: India and China.

The big question for Australia remains:  Is the former policeman Peter Dutton concerned about his government’s polling and playing to the China xenophobia and anti-Russian sentiment or does he seriously believe that Australia has a hope in Hades of taking on China and Russia in a military clash?

PS By the way: The turban imposed on the head of Prime Minister Boris Johnson, during his recent visit to India to facilitate trade and urge distance with Russia, was the traditional head gear worn by “Traders” – who are one level above “Untouchables”.  Perhaps a hidden message?

Ross Meurant, graduate in politics both at university and as a Member of Parliament; formerly police inspector in charge of Auckland spies & V.I.P. security; currently Honorary Consul for an African state, Trustee and CEO of Russian owned commercial assets in New Zealand and has international business interest.